EURUSD EMA–SMA Reversal Breakout Strategy

Required membership: Free (Activate the plan here)

Type: Breakout

TimeFrame: H1

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Profit factor 1.51

Instrument: Forex

Supported platforms: MetaTrader 4, MetaTrader 5, StrategyQuant

Strategy description

This EURUSD H1 strategy is a clean, rule-based reversal breakout system designed to enter only when price confirms a directional flip after a stretched move.
It uses a simple trend/position filter (EMA slope + price vs. SMA) to detect potential exhaustion, then executes via pending STOP orders placed beyond recent structure with a volatility buffer — so it doesn’t “guess” the turn, it waits for the market to prove it.

The strategy was generated in StrategyQuant X and backtested on EURUSD / H1 over 2004-04-01 to 2024-04-24 using MetaTrader 4 (data: EURUSD_M1_UTC2).


Core logic

The system has two layers:

1) Setup filter (exhaustion context)

It looks for “stretched” conditions where a reversal breakout is more likely:

  • Long setup
  • EMA(20) is falling (downward pressure / bearish context)
  • and price closes below SMA(30)
  • Short setup
  • EMA(20) is rising (upward pressure / bullish context)
  • and price closes above SMA(30)

2) Entry trigger (breakout execution)

Instead of entering at market, the strategy places STOP orders beyond recent structure:

  • LONG (Buy Stop)
  • Above the Highest Open of the last 30 bars
  • plus a buffer: 0.5 × SmallestRange(25)
  • SHORT (Sell Stop)
  • Below the Lowest Open of the last 30 bars
  • minus a buffer: 0.5 × SmallestRange(25)

Order handling rules:

  • Pending orders are valid for 1 bar
  • Duplicate trades disabled
  • Replacing pending orders allowed

Risk management & exits

  • Stop-loss: 30 pips (fixed)
  • Profit target: 100 pips (fixed)
  • Trailing stop: 50 pips (fixed)
  • Time exit: close after 24 bars (≈ 24 hours on H1)
  • Friday risk control: forced exit on Friday at 20:00

Who this strategy is for

If you want an EURUSD system that:

  • identifies potential exhaustion using a minimal EMA/SMA context filter,
  • waits for confirmed reversal breakout (STOP execution beyond structure),
  • and manages risk with straightforward fixed SL/PT plus a trailing stop and time-based exit,

this strategy is a simple, disciplined approach aimed at capturing clean directional moves without chasing noise.


Key settings (quick recap)

  • Symbol / TF: EURUSD / H1
  • Backtest window: 2004-04-01 to 2024-04-24 (MT4)
  • Filters: EMA(20) slope + SMA(30) position
  • Entry levels: Highest/Lowest Open (30) ± 0.5 × SmallestRange(25)
  • Order type: STOP (pending), validity 1 bar
  • SL / PT: 30 / 100 pips
  • Trailing: 50 pips
  • Exit after: 24 bars
  • Friday exit: 20:00
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